What to Expect in Northern Virginia’s Real Estate Market in Q4 2024

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Key trends and predictions for buyers and sellers as the year ends.

As we enter the fourth quarter of 2024, Northern Virginia's real estate market continues to evolve with new trends and shifting dynamics. Whether you're considering buying, selling, or simply keeping an eye on the market, understanding what to expect in the coming months can help you make more informed decisions. Here’s a look at the key market trends and predictions for Q4 2024.

Inventory Levels Remain Tight

Low inventory has been a consistent theme throughout the year, and Q4 is expected to continue this trend. Many sellers who have delayed listing their homes may hold off until the spring, keeping available homes limited. For buyers, this means competition could remain fierce, and bidding wars are likely in desirable neighborhoods. Sellers, on the other hand, could benefit from the continued high demand, potentially securing favorable offers quickly.

Seasonal Slowdown Might Be Less Pronounced

Typically, the market slows down in the last quarter of the year as the holiday season approaches. However, this year, the slowdown might be less noticeable. With many buyers motivated to lock in homes before potential interest rate hikes, we could see steady activity through the end of the year. This is especially true for serious buyers looking to move before the new year.

Interest Rates: A Key Factor

Interest rates have been a hot topic in 2024, with fluctuations impacting affordability and buyer behavior. As we move into Q4, rates are expected to remain relatively stable, though potential increases are still on the horizon. Buyers may feel a sense of urgency to secure a mortgage now rather than risk higher rates in 2025. Sellers can take advantage of this urgency by positioning their homes as ready-to-move-in and competitively priced.

Home Prices: Gradual Increases Expected

Home prices in Northern Virginia have steadily risen throughout the year, driven by demand and limited supply. This trend is likely to continue into Q4, though at a more moderate pace. Buyers should be prepared for incremental price increases, especially in sought-after areas like Arlington and Fairfax. For sellers, this is positive news, as steady price appreciation could lead to better returns on their properties.

The Rise of Remote Work and Its Impact

Remote work continues to influence Northern Virginia's real estate market, with many buyers seeking homes that offer more space, home offices, and proximity to outdoor amenities. This shift is expected to keep demand strong in suburban and semi-rural areas, where larger properties are more common. As a result, sellers with homes that fit these criteria might find a more receptive market, even in the typically slower winter months.

Increased Activity in the Investment Market

Investors are likely to stay active in Q4, seeking opportunities in both single-family homes and multi-family properties. With rental demand strong and home prices expected to rise, investment properties in Northern Virginia offer appealing potential returns. For those looking to sell investment properties, the fourth quarter could present a prime opportunity to capitalize on heightened investor interest.

As we head into the final quarter of 2024, Northern Virginia’s real estate market shows no signs of significant cooling. While inventory remains tight and competition persists, opportunities abound for both buyers and sellers. Understanding the trends and making strategic decisions—whether it’s buying before potential rate hikes or selling in a low-inventory market—can help you navigate the market effectively.


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Dan Rochon

Dan Rochon is an Associate Broker in VA, Broker in MD; Owner of Rochon Investments, LLC; Owner and Co-founder of www.GreetingsVirginia.com and Owner of other Joint Ventures as well as a real estate principles instructor at Moseley Real Estate Schools.

As a real estate sales agent, Dan and his team are consistently top producers in their marketplace and provide solutions for their clients. Through their investing company, Dan and Traci Rochon have been investing in residential and commercial real estate ventures for more than the past decade.

Dan and his wife Traci are frequent speakers and are often quoted in media stories about the current real estate market. The Rochon's have been featured on The Nightly News with Brian Williams, The Today Show, CNBC, The Washington Post, The Washington Examiner, WTOP News, Voted as The Best of DC Real Estate Agent in the Washington City Paper Readers Poll, and more...